Possible scenario
Special Prosecutor Replaced
25% Chance
A less likely but plausible outcome is that James steps back to avoid the appearance of political conflict. Hochul could appoint another senior prosecutor or retired judge to preserve public confidence in the probe.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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