Possible scenario
Routine sports spectacle
52% Chance
The most likely outcome is that the visit remains a political and sports-media spectacle rather than a market-moving event. The Air Force One flyover and Trump’s appearance dominate clips, commentary, and partisan reaction for a news cycle, but no major policy or security consequence follows.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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