Possible scenario
Opposition Persists
30% Chance
Local governments and residents continue to treat the pledge as insufficient relative to electricity, water, noise, and housing pressures. This keeps the permitting environment fragmented and sustains the risk that Amazon must shift workloads, redesign campuses, or pay more for power and community concessions.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.5%
- Utilities -0.2%
- Industrials +0.1%
Tickers
- AMZN-1.0%
- MSFT-0.2%
- SO+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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