Possible scenario
Compliance Settlement
25% Chance
Regulators do not allege intentional smuggling by Nvidia, but they find gaps in reseller screening, end-use verification, or post-sale controls. Nvidia accepts enhanced audits, tighter reporting, and a manageable civil penalty.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.3%
Tickers
- NVDA-1.6%
- AMD-0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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