Possible scenario
Engineering Risks Dominate
25% Chance
Follow-up analysis shows that the hole is difficult to access, with uncertain wall stability, dust hazards, and communications challenges. NASA keeps investigating but shifts near-term base planning back toward flatter polar terrain.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.6%
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- LUNR-3.2%
- BA-0.2%
- LMT-0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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