Possible scenario
Republicans Distance Themselves
25% Chance
National Republicans do not formally disavow French but quietly reduce financial and logistical support. The NRCC and Texas GOP prioritize more winnable House races, leaving French dependent on state activists and ideological donors.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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