Possible scenario
Replacement Push Emerges
18% Chance
A faction of Texas Republicans, donors, or local officials explores whether French can be replaced or pressured to withdraw. The effort faces legal and timing constraints, making a clean substitution difficult but not impossible if additional damaging material appears.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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