Possible scenario
French Stays Nominee
45% Chance
Bo French remains the Texas GOP nominee despite renewed scrutiny of deleted posts calling for public executions. Party leaders conclude ballot deadlines and base loyalty make removal impractical, while Democrats make the posts central to their closing argument.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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