Possible scenario
Flanagan Narrowly Wins
40% Chance
Peggy Flanagan converts the current polling edge into a very close Democratic hold in the open Minnesota Senate race. Michele Tafoya remains competitive, but the deleted anti-Minnesota tweet and weaker suburban appeal keep enough independents in Flanagan's column.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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