Possible scenario
Safety-Driven Slowdown
18% Chance
The fast registration pace increases scrutiny of whether Tesla is expanding faster than safety validation supports. A safety event or unfavorable NHTSA request could force a temporary slowdown without necessarily ending the program.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.6%
- Technology -0.4%
Tickers
- TSLA-6.2%
- UBER+1.0%
- LYFT+0.8%
- GOOG+0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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