Possible scenario
Regulated Expansion
30% Chance
The NHTSA probe remains active, but regulators do not immediately halt the Texas rollout. Tesla proceeds under tighter reporting expectations, limiting near-term upside while avoiding the worst-case suspension risk.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.1%
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- TSLA-0.3%
- LYFT+0.2%
- GOOG-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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