Possible scenario
Split Hands Edge To Daines
30% Chance
Bankhead remains active after winning the Democratic primary, while Bodnar attracts establishment support as an independent. The anti-Daines vote fractures, improving Republican incumbent Steve Daines' reelection odds unless one challenger clearly collapses.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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