Possible scenario
National Democrats Broker Deal
15% Chance
National Democratic figures intervene to avoid a prolonged split in a Senate race that could matter for chamber control. The goal is to produce a practical unity arrangement without appearing to fully nullify the primary result.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.