Possible scenario
Democrats Consolidate Around Bodnar
45% Chance
The Montana Democratic establishment continues shifting from primary winner Bankhead to independent candidate Bodnar, following Steve Bullock's endorsement and the party chair's resignation. Bankhead remains a complication, but donors, elected officials, and campaign infrastructure increasingly treat Bodnar as the anti-Republican vehicle against Steve Daines.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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