Possible scenario
Blitz Proceeds Largely
40% Chance
ICE carries out the 45-day enforcement push in Los Angeles, San Francisco, Oakland, San Diego, and other sanctuary jurisdictions despite California's objections. Federal officials argue immigration enforcement is preempted by federal law, while city and state officials focus on legal challenges and non-cooperation rather than physical obstruction.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.2%
- Business Services +0.2%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.2%
Tickers
- GEO+2.6%
- CXW+2.2%
- PLTR+0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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