Possible scenario
Restrictions Broaden
15% Chance
A less likely but more confrontational path is that the administration expands the access fight beyond CNN, reviving limits on other outlets or rewriting press-pool rules. That would make the issue look less like an isolated credential dispute and more like a broader press-freedom confrontation.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.5%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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