Possible scenario
Visits Backfire Politically
20% Chance
The trips expose unresolved tensions between Trump’s political operation and Thune’s Senate leadership team. Instead of a clean show of unity, coverage focuses on candidate management, message discipline, and whether Graham can appeal beyond the GOP base.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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