Possible scenario
Democrat Gains Ground
27% Chance
Andrews’ fundraising lead proves politically meaningful, allowing Democrats to dominate television, digital advertising, and voter-contact programs. Trump and Thune’s visits help Graham raise attention, but the race tightens or flips narrowly toward Andrews.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Healthcare +0.1%
- Finance -0.1%
- Energy -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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