Possible scenario
Relief Rally Emerges
27% Chance
Dip buyers step in after the sharp decline, arguing that AI infrastructure demand and megacap balance sheets remain intact. A rebound is plausible if companies or analysts reassure investors that capital spending is still translating into revenue growth.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology +1.5%
- Business Services +0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+1.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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