Possible scenario
Legal Limbo
25% Chance
Montenegrin courts avoid an immediate decision and request more documentation from Washington. This outcome is plausible because extradition cases involving political speech, cyber influence claims, and wartime propaganda can become procedurally complex.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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