Possible scenario
Arizona Execution Dominates
18% Chance
Arizona construction and ramp performance become the decisive factor for whether Texas receives a fab commitment. If Phoenix output and hiring improve, Texas can be sequenced rationally; if bottlenecks return, TSMC delays additional U.S. commitments.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.2%
- Industrials -0.1%
- Non-Energy Materials -0.1%
Tickers
- KLAC-0.4%
- AMAT-0.2%
- INTC+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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