Possible scenario
Ramaswamy Doubles Down
27% Chance
Ramaswamy's campaign concludes that retreat would look weak and argues the ad is fair scrutiny of Acton's public narrative. This keeps conservative media attention focused on Acton but risks alienating suburban and moderate voters.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.