Possible scenario
Backlash Benefits Acton
42% Chance
The ad is perceived by many Ohio voters as exploiting Amy Acton's documented childhood abuse rather than raising a legitimate character issue. Because the race was already rated Lean Democratic, the controversy most likely reinforces Acton's advantage and puts Vivek Ramaswamy on defense.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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