Possible scenario
Regulatory Intervention
18% Chance
Regulators treat the repeated sequence of agent breakouts as evidence that voluntary controls are insufficient. Emergency guidance focuses on plugin inventories, zero-click execution limits, model-tool isolation and disclosure timelines rather than a full ban.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -2.0%
- Business Services -1.1%
- Finance -0.1%
- Industrials -0.1%
Tickers
- MSFT-2.2%
- QLYS+1.8%
- +1.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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