Possible scenario
Projects Reprice Lower
40% Chance
Bond investors continue demanding higher coupons, tighter covenants, and more collateral for AI data-center debt. Developers still raise money, but several speculative campuses are delayed as funding costs weaken project economics.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.4%
- Finance -0.2%
Tickers
- -4.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.8%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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