Possible scenario
DOJ Wins Limited Relief
20% Chance
The Justice Department could persuade the judge that parts of the order intrude too far into executive control over White House access. A partial stay would not necessarily validate the full ban, but it would let the administration impose some restrictions while the case proceeds.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.1%
Tickers
- CMCSA-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.