Possible scenario
Split Nevada Verdict
21% Chance
Clark County remains close enough that Nevada's final result depends on Washoe County and nonpartisan voters rather than a single-party early-vote wave. This is a realistic middle path because early vote by party registration does not fully reveal how independents, crossover voters, or late voters will behave.
Secondary impacts
- Healthcare +0.1%
- Utilities +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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