Possible scenario
Contained Campus Protests
30% Chance
Student mobilization remains active but mostly localized around universities in Liège, Brussels, Louvain-la-Neuve, and Mons. The authorities avoid major concessions, while protest leaders focus on strikes, marches, and symbolic occupations rather than sustained street confrontations.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.1%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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