Possible scenario
Contained Replacement Program
45% Chance
Apple treats the cracked inner screens as an early production-quality issue rather than a design failure. Free replacements and fast Genius Bar handling limit reputational damage and keep most launch-week buyers from returning the $2,000 device.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.2%
Tickers
- AAPL+0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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