Possible scenario
Deep Strikes Continue
37% Chance
Ukraine treats the destruction of Proton's workshops as proof that Russia's defense-industrial electronics chain can be hit at depth. Follow-on strikes focus on plants linked to missile guidance, electronic warfare, and military communications.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.7%
- Technology +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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