Closure Ends Normally

Israel treats the Sukkot ban as a temporary holiday security measure and allows most vetted Palestinian laborers back into West Bank settlement jobs after the closure period. This is the most likely path because holiday closures are a recurring Israeli security practice, even though the post-October 7 environment makes re-entry more restrictive.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.