Tilt | Your Portfolio's Exposure to Current Events

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Under the hood

News relevance rankingSee today’s stories, ranked by what they mean for your portfolio.
Future probability calculationCalculate the odds of any future you describe.
Scenario exposure scoringFind which holdings a story touches, and by how much.
Economic impact simulationsSimulate what a scenario does to your portfolio, position by position.
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Friday, November 13, 2026Fri Nov 13 2026

AI
US Politics
Business
Tech
Geopolitics
Crypto
War
Commodities
World
Global Markets
US Markets
Cybersecurity
Future Outlook

Chris Mann (politician)

Democrat Adam Hamilton Leads Sen. Roger Marshall 47% to 43% in Kansas Poll

US Politics Adam Hamilton Roger Marshall (politician)Oct 2

Democrat Adam Hamilton Leads Sen. Roger Marshall 47% to 43% in Kansas Poll

Markets live ·

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?23%up 7 points
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?Nov 308%down 2 pointsDec 3124%down 6 pointsMar 3159%down 4 points
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?57%up 1 point
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?2%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?23%up 7 points
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?Nov 308%down 2 pointsDec 3124%down 6 pointsMar 3159%down 4 points
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?57%up 1 point
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?2%